The Smallest Possible Health Model
Three inputs beat twelve: activation state, usage recency/depth, and key feature adoption. Start with equal weights. If AUC/ROC against churn is ~0.5, your inputs are wrong, not your math. Fix the signals first.
Three inputs beat twelve: activation state, usage recency/depth, and key feature adoption. Start with equal weights. If AUC/ROC against churn is ~0.5, your inputs are wrong, not your math. Fix the signals first.
Customer Success is a company-wide strategy to maximize customer outcomes and, as a result, durable revenue (retention and expansion). In practice it integrates product knowledge, domain expertise, and relationship management into repeatable programs. The simplest test: do customers achieve the outcomes they hired the product for, and can we demonstrate that with data over time?
The first two months set posture. The job isn’t heroics—it’s clarity. Outcomes the company expects from CS. Two or three leading indicators we’ll live and die by. Cadences that expose reality fast. What I do: – Map just enough of the current journey to find leverage, then stop mapping and run plays. – Publish a…
Two canonical formulas: – Gross Revenue Retention (GRR) = (Starting ARR − Contraction − Churn) ÷ Starting ARR – Net Dollar Retention (NDR) = (Starting ARR + Expansion − Contraction − Churn) ÷ Starting ARR GRR shows how well you keep what you have. NDR shows whether existing customers grow enough to offset losses. They…
Digital CS isn’t “CS, but cheaper.” It’s behavior‑driven messaging, self‑serve paths that don’t humiliate users, and targeted human help where it changes the slope. I build it around three loops: – Teach the next action. Contextual nudges beat newsletters. – Detect risk early. Silence is a signal. Weird patterns are, too. – Reward progress. Show…
Journey maps are user-facing narratives that show what the person sees and feels. Service blueprints add the “backstage” layers: people, processes, and systems that create those moments. A practical pattern is: map one critical path end-to-end as a journey, then layer a blueprint to expose owners and measurement. That’s usually enough to run a focused…
Involuntary churn is failure to collect (payment issues, expired cards). Voluntary churn is a decision (no value, no budget, switching). The fixes differ. Involuntary churn is mostly ops and billing hygiene. Voluntary churn is product–market fit, onboarding, and value communications. Separate the streams in your reporting or you’ll chase the wrong problems.